Crispus Nyaga

Crispus Nyaga is a Nairobi-based trader and analyst. He started trading more than 7 years ago as a student. He has published in several reputable websites like The Street, Benzinga, and Seeking Alpha. He focuses mostly on G20 currencies, commodities like Crude oil and Gold, and European and American large-cap companies.

Silver Technical Analysis. Silver, often known as the poor man’s gold has become a boring metal with little movements. In the past five years, the price of an ounce of silver has ranged between a low of $13.73 and a high of $22. Its one-year chart shows a metal struggling to find direction and one that is hard to trade.

For starters, silver is a very important precious metal. Of all metals, silver is the best thermal and electrical conductor, which makes it ideal for use in, electrical. It is also used in jewelry manufacture because of its high luster and reflectivity. It is also a highly malleable metal, which makes it easier to flatten into sheets. It is also a highly ductile metal, which makes it easy to be converted into wires. In short, unlike gold, silver has many industrial uses.

A small quantity of silver is used as a store of value.

An interesting tale

Anyone who has traded silver for a long time will tell you an interesting story about how two brothers that tried to corner the silver market. They created one of the biggest bubbles of all time.

William Hunt was a rich Texan landowner who spent thousands of dollars buying property. One of his land in Texas became known as the East Texas Oilfield because of its significant oil resources.

When he died, he left his wealth to his two sons, Herbart and Nelson.

With the new found wealth, the sons had many options on how to invest it. They could buy real estate, build an industrial conglomerate or even, start a bank.

The two brothers saw silver as an ideal market for them. They expected silver to one day become as valuable as gold. So, they went on a shopping spree, buying all silver that they could. Singlehandedly, the two brothers made the price of silver soar from less than $20 to a high of $50.

To corner the entire market, they borrowed heavily from financial institutions.

In late 70s, the CFTC ruled that no individual was allowed to own more than 3 million ounces of silver. To cut the story short, the two brothers lost all their money and filed for bankruptcy.

Technical Analysis


In my previous article on silver, I wrote about the challenges of applying technical analysis to a commodity or financial instrument that is not moving. Those sentiments remain.

Silver reached a bottom in December when the price reached $15.11. Since then, it has had an impressive run to reach a 5-month high of $17.59.

As I have mentioned, silver is largely an industrial metal which tends to do well when market conditions are improving. A few days ago, the IMF boosted the global economic forecast to 3.4%. This may benefit silver.

In the short term however, markets may wait for dips before they initiate a position. As shown below, from the bottom, the current bullish trend has risen by a 530 angle. In analysis, we take such angle so steep for any bullish trend to endure. Therefore, markets may wait for a dip to the 17.146 level before initiating a position.

Was this article helpful?

0 1 0